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March Employment Numbers Better Thanks to Government
Hiring--04/02/10
According to the latest government statistics, U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by
162,000 in March. The headline unemployment rate was still 9.7% as was the case in
January and February. The alternative unemployment rate ticked up to 16.9%
however. ..read article
Hiring--04/02/10
According to the latest government statistics, U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by
162,000 in March. The headline unemployment rate was still 9.7% as was the case in
January and February. The alternative unemployment rate ticked up to 16.9%
however. ..read article
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Don't Confuse Inflation with Economic Growth--04/05/10
While U.S. government generated data claims inflation is tame or non-existent,
industry reports strongly contradict this view. The ISM reports on the state of U.S.
Manufacturing and Services in March are indicating a great deal of inflation.
..read article
While U.S. government generated data claims inflation is tame or non-existent,
industry reports strongly contradict this view. The ISM reports on the state of U.S.
Manufacturing and Services in March are indicating a great deal of inflation.
..read article
________________________________________________________________
Inflation Denial Won't Keep Prices Low--04/06/10Denial is one of the most
destructive forms of behavior for investors. While the markets can operate on false
scenarios for a significant period of time, reality always wins in the end. When it
does, the situation can get quite ugly and all the profits gained from a belief in an
unsupportable viewpoint can evaporate over night.. read article
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An Analysis of Retail Sales Media Coverage--04/07/10
Retail sales look like they increased 8% to 10% in March 2010 according to the
International Council of Shopping Centers. .read article
Retail sales look like they increased 8% to 10% in March 2010 according to the
International Council of Shopping Centers. .read article
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Do Conditions Exist for a Fall Stock Market Crash?--04/12/10
Market crashes don't take place overnight. They result from excesses that build up
...read article
Market crashes don't take place overnight. They result from excesses that build up
...read article
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Why the Stock Market May Be Topping--04/13/10
Markets hit tops or bottoms when almost everyone shares the same opinion. Current
conditions in the U.S. stock market are reaching an excess of bullishness and this
indicates a top could be forming. Investors should proceed with caution. read
article
Markets hit tops or bottoms when almost everyone shares the same opinion. Current
conditions in the U.S. stock market are reaching an excess of bullishness and this
indicates a top could be forming. Investors should proceed with caution. read
article
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An April 15th Look at Taxes and the Stock Market--04/15/10
Tax policy can impact not just how much money you pay in taxes, but how much
money you are likely to make in the first place if you are an investor. ...read article
Tax policy can impact not just how much money you pay in taxes, but how much
money you are likely to make in the first place if you are an investor. ...read article
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A GDP Canary in the Inflation Coal Mine--04/16/10..read article
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How Accounting Changes Created Wall Street's Good Earnings--04/20/10
....read article
....read article
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Greek Tragedy Moves Closer to Final Act--04/23/10--read article
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Why Popular Market Indicators May be Giving False Signals--04/22/10
Market indicators based on percent of stocks above their 50-day moving average
and the number of advancing versus declining stocks are flashing bullish buy signals.
..read article
Market indicators based on percent of stocks above their 50-day moving average
and the number of advancing versus declining stocks are flashing bullish buy signals.
..read article
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Greek Debt Crisis: Why Not Try Dollarization?--04/26/10
Like a thousand page novel that never gets to the climax, the Greek debt crisis is
still dragging on. Terms have yet to be worked out for the aid package from the EU
and IMF and the Germans seem hesitant about providing it. The market reacted by
pushing yields on two-year Greek bonds above 13% today. Even with the proposed
aid, Greece's debt problem will merely be put on hold until next year and not solved.
. read article
Like a thousand page novel that never gets to the climax, the Greek debt crisis is
still dragging on. Terms have yet to be worked out for the aid package from the EU
and IMF and the Germans seem hesitant about providing it. The market reacted by
pushing yields on two-year Greek bonds above 13% today. Even with the proposed
aid, Greece's debt problem will merely be put on hold until next year and not solved.
. read article
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Ford Still Financially Troubled Despite Q1 Earnings--04/27/10
.read article
.read article
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It's De Facto Default for Greece--04/28/10
The debt crisis in Greece looks like it is finally going to be resolved now that an S&P
downgrade of the country's debt to junk status on April 27th has brought the crisis to
a head. The eurozone leadership will finally have to stop its denial and provide
Greece with funding to roll over its debts. Calm will be then be restored to the
markets - at least for a while....read article
The debt crisis in Greece looks like it is finally going to be resolved now that an S&P
downgrade of the country's debt to junk status on April 27th has brought the crisis to
a head. The eurozone leadership will finally have to stop its denial and provide
Greece with funding to roll over its debts. Calm will be then be restored to the
markets - at least for a while....read article
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Fed Will Leave Rates at Zero Until Inflation Shows Up--04/29/10
The Federal Reserve left the fed funds rate in the zero to 0.25% range at its April
While the Fed was a bit more upbeat about the economy than it has been at recent
meetings, it still pledged to keep rates near zero "for an extended period of time".
.read article
The Federal Reserve left the fed funds rate in the zero to 0.25% range at its April
While the Fed was a bit more upbeat about the economy than it has been at recent
meetings, it still pledged to keep rates near zero "for an extended period of time".
.read article
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First Quarter GDP: A Look Inside the Numbers--04/30/10
The advance report for first quarter GDP was out today and it indicated that the U.S.
economy expanded by 3.2%. Approximately half of that was due to increases in up
over 13% and was the biggest sub-category gainer. ...read article
The advance report for first quarter GDP was out today and it indicated that the U.S.
economy expanded by 3.2%. Approximately half of that was due to increases in up
over 13% and was the biggest sub-category gainer. ...read article
______________________________________________________________
Lousiana Oil Spill Threatens Future U.S. Oil Supply--05/03/10
As the easy to get to oil on land has become scarcer, the industry has increasingly
been forced to develop offshore wells in deeper and deeper water. This strategy is
not without its risks, as the recent explosion of the Deepwater Horizon drill rig off
Louisiana last week made evident...read article
As the easy to get to oil on land has become scarcer, the industry has increasingly
been forced to develop offshore wells in deeper and deeper water. This strategy is
not without its risks, as the recent explosion of the Deepwater Horizon drill rig off
Louisiana last week made evident...read article
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Is the Stock Market Rolling Over?--05/04/10
Volatility is a sign of a top. The triple digit up and down moves on the Dow in the last
few days should make bullish investors reconsider their view on the market. The
15-month rally has been overdone for quite a long time now and even a small
event could do some serious damage to prices.. read article
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Financial Crises Compared: Eurozone 2010, Asia 1997--05/05/10
Current market action has all the earmarks of a global financial crisis. Stocks and
commodities are selling off, money is flowing into safe haven treasuries and the U.S.
dollar, and the VIX and TED spread are up sharply. We've seen this before in 2008 and
also during the Asian contagion in 1997..read article
Current market action has all the earmarks of a global financial crisis. Stocks and
commodities are selling off, money is flowing into safe haven treasuries and the U.S.
dollar, and the VIX and TED spread are up sharply. We've seen this before in 2008 and
also during the Asian contagion in 1997..read article
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Why Decisive Action is Needed to Save the Euro--05/06/10
This morning, the euro has traded as low as 126.55 to the dollar. The
currency has extremely strong support around the 125 level, so some
bounce up from there should be expected. While some short-term relief is
likely, in the longer term the survival of the euro is threatened until some
significant changes are made in how the currency union is managed.The
current problems in Greece have exposed the flaws behind the euro. The
currency was created with a set of rules that were meant to insure
stability, but the eurozone seems incapable of enforcing its own
standards. Because of this, the euro is losing credibility in the world
markets. At this point, the EU has only two choices if it wants to regain an
image of responsibility for its currency. It can either enforce its maximum
3% budget deficit to GDP limit or change the limit to something that can
be accomplished and make sure all member countries stick to it. The
Credit Crisis has made the first choice impossible, but the EU has yet to try
to deal with this realistically. The second choice, while it would tend to
lower the value of the euro, would allow it to keep functioning as a
viable currency. read article
This morning, the euro has traded as low as 126.55 to the dollar. The
currency has extremely strong support around the 125 level, so some
bounce up from there should be expected. While some short-term relief is
likely, in the longer term the survival of the euro is threatened until some
significant changes are made in how the currency union is managed.The
current problems in Greece have exposed the flaws behind the euro. The
currency was created with a set of rules that were meant to insure
stability, but the eurozone seems incapable of enforcing its own
standards. Because of this, the euro is losing credibility in the world
markets. At this point, the EU has only two choices if it wants to regain an
image of responsibility for its currency. It can either enforce its maximum
3% budget deficit to GDP limit or change the limit to something that can
be accomplished and make sure all member countries stick to it. The
Credit Crisis has made the first choice impossible, but the EU has yet to try
to deal with this realistically. The second choice, while it would tend to
lower the value of the euro, would allow it to keep functioning as a
viable currency. read article